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Potential impact of Trump's trade war on jobs and inflation sends US consumer sentiment plunging

U.S. consumer sentiment plunged in April, the fourth consecutive month of declines, in a seemingly sharp rebuke of President Donald Trump's trade wars that have fueled anxiety over possible job losses and rising inflation. The preliminary reading of the University of Michigan’s closely watched consumer sentiment index, released Friday, fell 11% on a monthly basis to 50.8, the lowest since the depths of the COVID-19 pandemic. The decline was “pervasive and unanimous across age, income, education, geographic region, and political affiliation,” said Joanne Hsu, director of the survey.

Ted Cruz Says Senators Urged Trump to Stem Market ‘Freefall’

(Bloomberg) -- On the night of April 8, as US stocks reeled and Treasuries were selling off, a group of senators put it to President Donald Trump plainly: the market was in freefall because of his tariffs and he needed to lower the temperature. Most Read from BloombergThe Secret Formula for Faster TrainsMidtown Office Building Evacuated on Concerns of Wall CollapseIn Chicago, a Former Steel Mill Looks to Make a Quantum LeapNYC Tourist Helicopter Crashes in Hudson River, Killing SixInside the Qui

Traders lighten bets on Fed rate cuts, still eye June start

Prices of interest-rate futures continue to reflect expectations that the U.S. central bank will start reducing its policy rate in June, though with less certainty than earlier, with the market-indicated probability around 75%, versus more than 80% earlier in the day. Traders see the Fed delivering three rate cuts in total over the course of the year, pulling back from bets on a fourth rate cut.

Argentina FX futures jittery as traders place bets ahead of IMF deal

Argentine peso futures have weakened sharply in recent days as traders place tentative bets on a faster depreciation of the embattled currency amid uncertainty over the exchange rate regime ahead of a deal with the International Monetary Fund. The April peso future contract has weakened to around 1,180 per dollar from 1,125 on April 9 when the IMF announced that it had reached a staff-level agreement with Argentina over a new $20 billion loan program to help bolster depleted reserves. That's seen traders playing a guessing game on what that might mean for the currency, which is currently held in check by strict capital controls and a so-called crawling peg, which allows it to depreciate at 1% each month currently.