News

Oil moves closer to stocks in 2025 as Trump tariffs roil markets

A positive correlation between global oil benchmark Brent crude and U.S. equities has reemerged in 2025, reflecting concern about the slowing economy and the impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's trade wars. The current environment with widespread growth fears has spurred investors to seek new strategies. Since Trump took office on January 20, crude and U.S. stocks have moved in lockstep, as concern about the outlook for the global economy and growth have rattled sentiment across markets.

If Online Prediction Markets Are Any Guide, Bitcoin Still Has a 35% Chance of Hitting $125,000 in 2025

Here's the good news -- a surprising number of investors are still relatively confident about Bitcoin's prospects in 2025. Based on data from the Kalshi online prediction market, 35% of investors think Bitcoin could hit $125,000 this year, and 16% think it's still on the path to $150,000. To make this problem as easy to solve as possible, I've mentally divided Bitcoin's catalysts into two categories: "old" and "new."

Germany's economy is expected to be more or less stagnant this year

Germany's economy is likely to be more or less stagnant in 2025 after shrinking for two years and the impact of U.S. tariffs could weigh down an already unimpressive showing, leading think tanks forecast Thursday. Germany has Europe's biggest economy and is the 27-nation European Union's most populous member. Five economic institutes said in a regular update that they expect minimal growth of 0.1% this year — down from the 0.8% they forecast in September.