Key Takeaways
Adobe ( ADBE ) shares fell sharply in premarket trading on Thursday after the multimedia software provider issued a revenue outlook that fell short of Wall Street expectations.
The company guided current-quarter net sales of between $5.63 billion and $5.68 billion, while saying it sees fiscal 2025 revenue of $23.3 billion to $23.6 billion, both short of consensus estimates, which analysts had pegged at $5.72 billion and $23.8 billion, respectively.
Through Wednesday's close, Adobe shares had fallen 8% since the start of the year. The stock has been weighed down, in part, by concerns that the company’s integration and monetization of artificial intelligence (AI) into its suite of product offerings has not yet meaningfully contributed to the company’s top line growth.
Adobe shares were down 11% at $488.75 in recent premarket trading.
Below, we break down the technicals on Adobe’s chart and point out key price levels to watch out for.
Rising Wedge Breakdown
Since mid-October, Adobe shares have traded higher within a rising wedge , mimicking a similar pattern that formed on the chart between July and September.
Interestingly, an earnings gap breakdown followed the earlier formation, similar to what looks likely to happen after the company’s latest quarterly results.
Let’s identify three crucial support levels where Adobe shares may encounter buying interest and also discuss important overhead areas to watch if the stock makes a bullish reversal .
Crucial Support Levels to Monitor
Firstly, it’s worth monitoring the $500 level. This location could provide support near a trendline that links the prominent September 2023 swing low and a range of comparable trading activity between March and November.
Selling below this level could see the shares decline to around $475, a region on the chart where investors may seek entry points near the stock’s June 2023 pullback low and early November 2024 trough. This area also roughly aligns with a bars pattern projection that extracts the downtrend that followed the earlier wedge formation and repositions it from the top trendline of the current rising wedge.
A deeper correction in the stock may lead to a retest of lower support near $440. Bargain hunters could look to accumulate shares in this area around a consolidation period in June 2023, which closely lines up with the June 2024 swing low.
Important Overhead Areas to Watch
Upon a share price recovery, investors should initially keep track of the $565 area. This key overhead level could provide selling pressure near a horizontal line that connects the rising wedge pattern’s top trendline with multiple peaks and troughs on the chart dating back to September last year.
Further upside could see a rally to around $635, a location where Adobe shares would likely run into resistance near two peaks that formed a double top on the chart between December 2023 and February.
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